Libri di Marco Malvaldi

 How can we tell if someone is innocent or guilty of a crime?How can we tell if someone is innocent or guilty of a crime?Every story can be analyzed by using mathematical techniques and statistics. Looking at reports, paradoxes and contradictions, we can try to untangle narration from probabilities, to understand how much a narration can be probable and then take the best possible decision on whether to believe it or not. Following the ideas that Edgar Allan Poe expressed in The Mystery of Marie Rogêt, the author explains why the theory of probability is a fundamental tool to compare different versions of a story, evaluate relevance and reliability of the evidence and decide in light of the obtained evidence. A well-researched and entertaining essay on reasonable doubt, that mixes literary quotes, logical paradoxes and references to international true crimes: the O. J. Simpson trial, the R v Adams case, the death of Mary Rogers and many more!